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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Hedge Funds Head for Mediocrity? - 2007 Time

Hedge Funds Head for Mediocrity
"In 1962, a government study of mutual funds revealed that they were, on average, average, or worse. This was an affront to many on Wall Street who assumed that, of course, professional investors beat the market. It was left to legendary investor Benjamin Graham to explain in a speech to securities analysts that "neither the financial analysts as a whole nor the investment funds as a whole can expect to 'beat the market,' because in a significant sense they (or you) are the market."
In red, G. Soros's similar view expressed in his "The Alchemy of Finance" book
The Alchemy of Finance (Wiley Investment Classics)
Read more: http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1584783,00.html#ixzz1BQluE9tO
and to continue, article quotes Mr. Thorp's e-mail:
"Thorp, who at 74 no longer runs a hedge fund but still invests in a few, doesn't worry too much about a meltdown. "My opinion is that the most likely scenario is not a blowup but rather that hedge funds as a group will gradually and continuously lose their edge (if they haven't already) over other asset classes," he writes in an e-mail. "Then they will 'top out'--like mutual funds, real estate, etc.--and then just be a fluctuating fraction of total financial assets--part of the financial landscape."



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